Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 299.303867 339.658994 384.831859 439.405978 503.897114 578.104212 670.563813
2025-01-19 228.706950 278.072198 338.347367 418.311655 523.055476 657.645404 847.085836
2025-01-26 205.014613 261.251735 334.169828 437.584273 583.720305 788.006020 1104.849188
2025-02-02 190.686223 252.523054 336.795592 463.277272 654.209249 942.047587 1430.553296
2025-02-09 172.570273 235.436571 324.510530 464.365886 687.137765 1044.806165 1700.746682
2025-02-16 154.776867 216.276540 306.205186 452.742716 696.902976 1110.608786 1922.803819
2025-02-23 140.803444 200.962860 291.437445 443.888865 708.600912 1180.271447 2168.648865
2025-03-02 133.402358 194.614330 289.401518 454.861234 755.125291 1320.302703 2594.180303
2025-03-09 124.688902 185.272572 281.428017 454.415122 780.577473 1424.942344 2976.369419
2025-03-16 115.370623 174.073631 269.191314 444.743173 786.789722 1491.674546 3291.764338
2025-03-23 109.063230 167.178640 263.385084 445.762926 813.686495 1607.129451 3769.020982
2025-03-30 101.688149 157.890271 252.573494 436.068088 817.135982 1671.119924 4132.094424
2025-04-06 95.945289 151.090025 245.803160 433.914332 837.511750 1782.501206 4689.574997
2025-04-13 87.968417 139.897066 230.299406 412.981155 814.130743 1783.557234 4912.783762
2025-04-20 86.323127 139.584965 234.462988 431.962407 883.462298 2037.047999 6098.475629
2025-04-27 85.519763 140.667893 241.262177 457.243230 972.485534 2370.552553 7793.799382
2025-05-04 81.811018 136.180713 237.016961 458.314406 1002.619972 2545.880893 8985.715028
2025-05-11 77.001221 129.327026 227.596098 446.877967 999.007078 2618.812250 9782.201085
2025-05-18 72.886334 123.506987 219.765378 438.165606 1001.219827 2711.656755 10748.055615
2025-05-25 71.108444 121.980463 220.402115 448.962532 1058.177051 3003.514896 12994.748136
2025-06-01 68.338429 118.360990 216.463865 448.523573 1083.808985 3196.510125 14888.369542
2025-06-08 64.917983 113.268582 209.089051 439.006291 1081.679385 3288.667890 16262.984714
2025-06-15 62.689548 110.382275 206.133023 440.009774 1111.118050 3511.990407 18785.169399